Pre-tourney Rankings
Austin Peay
Ohio Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#288
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#254
Pace72.4#68
Improvement+0.6#141

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#152
First Shot+3.4#74
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#331
Layup/Dunks-1.0#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#174
Freethrows+1.0#112
Improvement-1.7#262

Defense
Total Defense-8.6#341
First Shot-6.1#330
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#335
Layups/Dunks-4.8#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#300
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement+2.3#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 47   @ Dayton L 68-96 3%     0 - 1 -14.6 -0.6 -13.1
  Nov 18, 2016 149   Northern Kentucky W 77-69 20%     1 - 1 +8.8 +2.2 +6.5
  Nov 19, 2016 274   @ Miami (OH) L 70-76 36%     1 - 2 -10.3 -4.5 -5.5
  Nov 20, 2016 281   Delaware W 76-75 48%     2 - 2 -6.6 +3.9 -10.4
  Nov 30, 2016 148   Purdue Fort Wayne L 99-103 27%     2 - 3 -5.5 +14.0 -19.1
  Dec 03, 2016 35   @ Arkansas L 62-99 3%     2 - 4 -22.4 -8.2 -13.0
  Dec 10, 2016 148   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 58-98 14%     2 - 5 -36.4 -21.1 -11.4
  Dec 15, 2016 135   @ Wofford L 77-96 13%     2 - 6 -15.0 +3.2 -18.2
  Dec 17, 2016 154   Evansville L 69-77 28%     2 - 7 -10.0 +0.5 -11.0
  Dec 20, 2016 164   Lipscomb L 85-99 30%     2 - 8 -16.4 +3.5 -19.0
  Dec 22, 2016 38   @ Indiana L 62-97 3%     2 - 9 -20.8 -6.6 -14.4
  Dec 28, 2016 229   @ Western Kentucky L 92-97 27%     2 - 10 -6.7 +20.2 -27.1
  Dec 31, 2016 97   Belmont L 77-82 17%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -2.9 +3.7 -6.6
  Jan 05, 2017 259   @ Tennessee Tech L 67-76 32%     2 - 12 0 - 2 -12.1 -4.0 -8.3
  Jan 07, 2017 176   @ Jacksonville St. L 68-71 18%     2 - 13 0 - 3 -1.0 +2.4 -3.7
  Jan 12, 2017 313   @ SIU Edwardsville W 83-81 OT 49%     3 - 13 1 - 3 -5.7 -0.6 -5.3
  Jan 14, 2017 225   @ Eastern Illinois W 92-84 27%     4 - 13 2 - 3 +6.5 +15.2 -9.1
  Jan 19, 2017 203   Morehead St. L 82-89 38%     4 - 14 2 - 4 -11.9 -0.4 -11.1
  Jan 21, 2017 202   Murray St. W 84-81 OT 38%     5 - 14 3 - 4 -1.8 -2.6 +0.5
  Jan 26, 2017 211   Tennessee Martin L 79-85 41%     5 - 15 3 - 5 -11.6 -3.0 -8.3
  Jan 28, 2017 230   Southeast Missouri St. L 71-82 46%     5 - 16 3 - 6 -17.9 -2.2 -16.4
  Feb 01, 2017 273   @ Eastern Kentucky W 83-81 OT 36%     6 - 16 4 - 6 -2.2 +3.0 -5.4
  Feb 04, 2017 183   Tennessee St. L 66-70 33%     6 - 17 4 - 7 -7.4 +0.9 -8.7
  Feb 11, 2017 202   @ Murray St. L 58-102 22%     6 - 18 4 - 8 -43.7 -13.1 -33.7
  Feb 16, 2017 225   Eastern Illinois W 85-80 45%     7 - 18 5 - 8 -1.6 +9.0 -10.7
  Feb 18, 2017 313   SIU Edwardsville W 92-84 68%     8 - 18 6 - 8 -4.7 +9.4 -14.6
  Feb 23, 2017 211   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-76 24%     8 - 19 6 - 9 -4.5 +3.9 -8.8
  Feb 25, 2017 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 88-79 28%     9 - 19 7 - 9 +7.2 +6.9 -0.4
Projected Record 9.0 - 19.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%